中国宏观经济的阶段性划分  

The Periodic Division of Macroeconomic Production in China

作　　者：马赞甫[1] 刘妍珺[2] 

机构地区：[1]贵州财经大学贵州省经济系统仿真重点实验室,贵州贵阳550025 [2]贵州财经大学数学与统计学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2017年第23期7-14,共8页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金项目(12YJC790140);国家社科基金项目(12BJY012)

摘　　要：在指标三分类及规模报酬不变假设下,采用基于DEA的聚类分析方法对改革开放以来我国宏观经济进行阶段性划分.具体而言,以要素影子价格相似性为依据,通过聚类分析将中国宏观经济生产进程划分为3个阶段:1978-1994年为第一阶段,1994-2007年为第二阶段,而2007年之后为第三阶段.在此基础上,探讨了不同经济阶段的基本特征.Using cluster analysis method which is based on Data Envelopment Analysis, we periodically divide the macroeconomic production in China since the adoption of the reform and opening-up policy. Specifically, based on the similarity on the elements of the shadow price, we divide the macroeconomic production in China into three stages by using cluster analysis method： the first stage is from 1978 to 1994, the second stage is from 1994 to 2007,and the last stage is from 2007 to the present. On this basis, basic characteristics of different stages are preliminarily discussed.

关 键 词：宏观经济生产 效率 数据包络分析 聚类分析 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] F224