基于灰色GM(1,N)模型的广西北部湾港口物流预测研究  

The Research on Guangxi Beibu Gulf port Logistics Forecast based on Grey GM(1,N)Model

作　　者：朱念[1] 陈东升[1] 何昌勤[1] 李立民[2] 

机构地区：[1]钦州学院经济管理学院,广西钦州535011 [2]广西大学商学院,广西南宁535004

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2017年第23期303-310,共8页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：国家社科基金西部项目(14XGJ005);海陆经济一体化与海上丝绸之路建设研究协同中心研究项目(16&YB12);钦州学院高级别培育项目(2016PY-GJ18);广西高校重点实验室(桂教科研[2015]17号):现代港口物流实验室;北部湾海洋文化研究中心2017年度开放课题(2017BMCA03);北部湾海洋经济研究院2017年开放课题(A201705)

摘　　要：通过考察广西北部湾港口物流的现状,采用广西北部湾2007年以来第一产业增加值、第二产业增加值、进出口总额、固定资产投资额等数据,运用灰色GM(1,N)模型对广西北部湾港口物流进行预测,并提出利用地域优势,大力发展整车口岸;充分挖掘资源,打造特色经济口岸;加大港口建设,促进港口转型升级;多方通力合作,培养港口专业型人才;深化中国-东盟港口城市合作网络,积极推进"互联网+港口"等建议,以期为政府相关部门提供决策参考.The paper investigate of the present situation of the port logistics in the northern Gulf of Guangxi, and use the gray GM（1, N） theoretical model by the data index of the first industrial added value, the value of the second industry, imports and exports, investment in fixed assets and other data in Guangxi Beibu Gulf Since 2007.Using the grey GM（1, N）model to predict the Guangxi Beibu Gulf port logistics, and proposes the use of geographical advantages, vigorously develop the vehicle port; to fully tap the resources to build economic characteristics of ports; increase the port construction, promote the transformation and upgrading of the port; multi-party co-operation, cultivating professional talents Chinese port;deepen ASEAN port city cooperation the network, and actively promote the ＂Internet plus port＂ and so on,with a view to provide decision-making reference for relevant government departments, so as to provide intellectual support for the sustainable development of Guangxi＇s Beibu Gulf port logistics.

关 键 词：广西北部湾 港口物流 灰色GM(1 N)模型 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济] F552.7