我国肉鸡市场横向整合研究——基于不同品种肉鸡日度价格数据  

Research on Horizontal Integration of Broiler Market in China——Based on Daily Price Data of Different Broiler Breed

作　　者：虞祎[1] 王含露 

机构地区：[1]南京农业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2017年第12期94-97,共4页Price:Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目"储备调控对猪肉价格波动的影响研究"(编号:71403123);南京农业大学中央高校基本科研业务费人文社科基金项目"家禽岗位专家培育项目"(编号:SKGW2016001);"江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目"(PAPD)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：本文基于广东、广西、江苏和山东四省2013年4月1日-2017年5月4日快速鸡和中速鸡的日度价格数据,运用协整分析、格兰杰因果分析以及误差修正模型等方法剖析我国肉鸡市场的横向价格传递机制,揭示肉鸡市场横向整合程度。结果表明:我国肉鸡市场整合程度较高,各省快速鸡及中速鸡价格存在长期均衡关系,短期内大多数市场的价格体现出线性调整的关系,价格偏差能够自我修复,在肉鸡市场价格调整中体现出生产型导向的特征。因此,肉鸡产业应该依靠市场的力量优化资源配置,政府应该建立更加有效的市场监测体系,进一步提高肉鸡主产区信息化水平。Based on daily price data of fast-growing and medium-growing broiler from April 1 st, 2013 to May 4 th 2017 in Guangdong, Guangxi, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces,this paper analyzes price horizontal transmission of broiler market by using methods of co-integration analysis,granger causality analysis and error correction model, revealing the level of horizontal integration of broiler market. The results showed that there was a high level of horizontal integration in broiler market. Long-run equilibrium relationship between fast-growing and medium growing broiler was observed within province and interprovincial market. In the short term, the prices in most markets reflected linear adjustments with feature of production-oriented and the price deviation can be adjusted automatically. Therefore, broiler industry should rely on the market to optimize the allocation of resources; the government should establish a more effective market monitoring system to further improve the information level in main producing areas of broilers.

关 键 词：肉鸡市场 肉鸡价格 价格传导 肉鸡产业 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]