我国各省份对外开放与经济增长关系的门槛效应研究  

The Relations between Opening and Economic Growth of Various Provinces in China——a Study of Threshold Effect

作　　者：王珏帅 

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学国际经济贸易学院,辽宁大连116025

出　　处：《当代经济科学》2018年第1期55-61,共7页Modern Economic Science

摘　　要：本文应用门槛效应模型,使用1996至2014年的我国省际面板数据对初始经济状况影响对外开放与经济发展的程度进行实证分析,研究表明以人均GDP这一因素衡量的初始经济状况在对外开放促进经济发展中存在门槛效应,而且随着初始经济水平的提高,对外开放对经济发展的正向促进作用更明显。结合目前我国区域发展存在较大差异的现实,一些地区金融市场尚未充分发育,引入外资、加强贸易的对外开放固然重要,但不应仅将目光集中在此,而应与当地经济的整体发展相配套,按部就班稳步进行。Based on a threshold effect model,this paper uses the 1996-2014provincial panel data to test the degree to which initial economic situation may affect the level of openness and economic development.It is shown that there is a threshold effect in the initial economic situation measured by GDPPC.And the open strategy has more positive effect on economic development with the improvement of initial economic situation.Under the condition of huge regional difference and imperfect financial market in China,it is important to introduce foreign capital and open up the trade.But it is more important to combine these policies with local economic development level.

关 键 词：对外开放 经济增长 初始经济状况 地区差异 门槛效应模型 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F127