抓住技术革命机会窗口的理论、历史与对策  

The Theory,History and Countermeasures of Grasping Windows of Opportunity of Technological Revolutions

作　　者：刘辉锋[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术发展战略研究院,北京100038

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2018年第3期37-41,共5页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家科技统计专项项目"科技统计分析基础性工作"(NSTS201707)

摘　　要：基于演化经济学和经济史对技术革命生命周期与机会窗口的研究,总结分析美国和德国利用第三次技术革命的机会窗口优先发展新兴产业,从而实现跻身世界经济强国行列的经验做法,以及我国经济发展所取得巨大成就得益于抓住了第五次技术革命的机会窗口,提出我国必须抓住第六次技术革命开启的机会窗口,深入实施创新驱动发展战略,开辟具有中国特色的自主创新之路,实现进入创新型国家前列和成为世界科技强国的战略目标。Based on the research of evolutionary economics and economic history studies on life cycle and opportunitywindow of technological revolution,summary and analysis experience practice of the United States and Germany,whichused the window of opportunity of the third technological revolution to achieve the ranks of the world＇s economicpower, through the active development of emerging industries,and the great achievements of our country＇s economicdevelopment,which have benefited from seizing the window of opportunity of the fifth technological revolution.The article puts forward that, China must seize the window of opportunity of the sixth technological revolution, andcarry out the innovation-driven development strategy, open up the road of independent innovation with Chinesecharacteristics,in order to realize the strategic goal of entering the forefront of the innovation-oriented countries andbecoming the world＇s strong science and technology country.

关 键 词：技术革命 机会窗口 新兴产业 

分 类 号：F204[经济管理—国民经济]