全开放值机岛离港旅客值机排队长度预测模型  

Check-in queue length prediction model of departure passengers in fully open check-in island

作　　者：邢志伟 杨扬 罗谦 

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学电子信息与自动化学院,天津300300 [2]中国民航局第二研究所,成都610041

出　　处：《中国民航大学学报》2018年第1期42-46,64,共6页Journal of Civil Aviation University of China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U1333122;U1533203);国家科技支撑计划(2012BAG04B02);中央高校基本科研业务费专项(3122014P003);四川省科技支撑计划(2016GZ0068);成都市战略性新兴产品研发补贴项目(2015-CP01-00158-GX)

摘　　要：针对国内离港旅客在全开放值机岛以蛇形排队方式值机的业务场景,分析了旅客聚集规律的性质,证明了对于邻近多航班的旅客会有多个聚集高峰出现的现象。基于此场景在开放柜台数量尚未发生改变时,通过累计算法和离散化分析临近时序的排队长度变化,建立了全开放值机岛离港旅客值机排队长度预测模型,并通过对比试验证明了模型的准确性。Aiming at the domestic departure passengers checking-in scenario with the serpentine queuing form in the fully open check-in island, passenger agglomeration rule is analyzed, proving the multiple peaks of arriving passengers on multiple flights. Then, for this scene, before the number of open counters changed, the queuing length prediction model of departure passengers in fully open check-in island is established by cumulative algorithm and discretized analysis. Queuing length of adjacent timing is analyzed in discrete way. Accuracy of the current model is proved by comparative test.

关 键 词：排队长度 值机 离散化分析 预测模型 

分 类 号：V35[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]