基于属性测度的PPP项目关键风险评价研究  

Research on Key Risk Assessment of PPP Project Based on Attribute Measurement

作　　者：苏海红[1,2] 高永林 蔡菊芳 

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,云南昆明650093 [2]昆明理工大学云南工业干部学院,云南昆明650500 [3]昆明理工大学基建处,云南昆明650500 [4]昆明理工大学财务处,云南昆明650500

出　　处：《昆明理工大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第1期97-102,共6页Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology(Natural Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(70962003);昆明理工大学人文社科研究培育项目(skpypy201648);昆明理工大学管理与经济学院硕博生科研激励资助项目

摘　　要：在供给侧结构性改革背景下PPP模式成为政府实现稳增长、调整结构目标的重要措施,已经广泛应用于我国公共设施和基础设施.然而,在PPP项目实施过程中存在众多风险,并且具有多样性、阶段性和复杂性等特点,因此有效进行关键风险因素评价成为保证PPP项目顺利进行重点研究问题.本文从宏观层面、中观层面和微观层面构建PPP项目关键风险指标体系,在此基础上运用属性测度相关理论建立了PPP项目关键风险评价模型并将该模型在昆明轨道交通X号线进行验证,为我国PPP项目关键风险评价提供相应指导和借鉴.Under the background of supply side structural reform,PPP mode has become an important measure for the government to achieve steady growth and adjust its structural objectives. It has been widely applied to public facilities and infrastructure in China. However,there are many risks in the implementation of PPP project,and it is characterized by diversity,periodicity and complexity. Therefore,effective evaluation of key risk factors is the key issue to ensure the smooth implementation of PPP project. The key to construct PPP project risk index system from the macro level,meso level and micro level,was established based on the PPP project key risk evaluation model and the model was validated in Kunming rail transit line using the attribute measure theory,which provide guidance and reference for the risk evaluation of PPP project in china.

关 键 词：PPP项目 属性测度 风险评价 

分 类 号：F283[经济管理—国民经济]