俄罗斯自由浮动汇率制度背景下进口替代战略的前景  

作　　者：郑维臣 

机构地区：[1]国家外汇管理局辽宁省分局

出　　处：《欧亚经济》2018年第1期58-62,共5页Journal of Eurasian Economy

摘　　要：俄罗斯的进口替代与经济危机密切相关,2014年乌克兰危机后,俄罗斯连续两年出台了反危机计划,试图使进口替代不仅成为反危机计划的一部分,而且成为解决俄罗斯经济结构性矛盾和保障国家安全的发展战略。从目前情况看,俄罗斯经济逐步回暖,2017年经济正增长已没有悬念。进口替代在俄罗斯经济增长中起到了怎样的作用?进口替代与经济危机的关系?进口替代在哪些领域易于推进?进口替代能否肩负起结构性改革的重任?进口替代是权宜之计还是国家长期发展战略?如何评价本轮进口替代的实施效果?俄罗斯进口替代还面临哪些障碍?本刊编辑部特邀请国内外专家学者对上述问题进行深入研讨。Russia's import substitution is closely related with its economic crisis. After the 2014 Ukraine Crisis,Russia promulgated anti-crisis schemes in two consecutive years in an attempt to resolve the structural conflict of its economy and strengthen state security with import substitution,an integral part of the schemes. Russia's economy is in a trend of gradual rise and its growth rate of 2017 will definitely be a positive figure. We editorial department invited domestic and foreign scholars for a special discussion on the following topics,i. e.,what is the role of import substitution in Russia's economic growth? What is the correlation between import substitution and economic crisis? Which sectors can import substitution be smoothly implemented? Can import substitution play the key role to the mission of Russia's structural reform? Is Russia's import substitution an expedient measure or a long-term strategy for its national development? How to assess the performance of import substitution under implementation? And which obstacles will Russia's import substitution encounter?

关 键 词：进口替代战略 自由浮动汇率 制度背景 俄罗斯 进口替代政策 贸易保护措施 否定态度 市场扭曲 

分 类 号：F151.2[经济管理—世界经济] F755.12