高铁对县域经济增长溢出效应的影响研究——以福建省为例  

Spillovers Effect of the High-Speed Railway on Counties’ Economic Growth:Taking Fujian Province as An Example

作　　者：李新光 黄安民 

机构地区：[1]湖北师范大学经济与管理学院,湖北黄石435002 [2]武夷学院商学院,福建武夷山354300 [3]华侨大学城市建设与经济发展研究院,福建泉州362021

出　　处：《地理科学》2018年第2期233-241,共9页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：福建省教育厅中青年教师教育科研项目(JAS150608);福建省社会科学规划项目(FJ2015C241,FJ2015C243)资助~~

摘　　要：搜集福建省58个县级市的面板数据,采用两机制空间面板杜宾模型,同时考虑空间邻接和区域通达时间距离两种权重来检验高铁开通对地区经济增长溢出效应的影响。结果发现,福建县域经济增长存在明显的空间集聚性和正向空间溢出效应,通过高铁缩短城市间的通达时间比简单的相邻地区间经济增长的空间溢出效应更大;资本和劳动力的产出弹性系数均为正,并且前者小于后者,福建经济增长主要以劳动力带动为主;高铁开通前后地区经济增长溢出效应有显著差异,开通后的溢出效应小于开通前,这有利于地区经济向均衡方向发展。Based on theoretical and empirical perspectives, this article demonstrates the impact of high-speed rail construction on the economy growth spillovers of Fujian County. At first, it theoretically proves that high-speed rail construction will bring the direct and indirect effects of economic growth. Then, we collect 2001-2014 microscopic panel data of 58 county-level cities in Fujian Province. Firstly, using two mechanisms of spatial panel Durbin Model, taking into account two kinds of spatial weights matrix, the space adjacent weight matrix and area reaching time-distance weight matrix, to test the high-speed railway spillover effect on regional economic growth. It shows that： First, the economic growth of Fujian County has significant positive spatial correlation between 2001 and 2014. The economic growth of a county is not spatially random distributed. There is significant spatial dependence and the combined effect of Fujian County economy. That is to say,economic growth of one area will generate positive spillover effects on that of adjacent area. Economic growth spillovers which result from shorten time accessibility between different cities because of high-speed rail than that of spatial correlation results from simple adjacent areas. Second, compared with the results of the traditional panel model, the direct impact of the high-speed rail on the regional economic growth is also very significant before and after the opening of the high-speed rail, which is resulted from the significant change in the contribution of labor and capital to economic growth. That is to say, the output elasticity of labor has become smaller, the output elasticity of capital becomes larger. It indicates that the opening of high-speed rail brings convenience to flow of the labor and the capital, and contribution of capital on economic growth will be more and more important. Third, the output elasticity of capital and labor is positive, and the former is smaller than the latter. It means that economic growth in Fujian is mainly driv

关 键 词：高速铁路 经济增长 空间溢出 两机制空间面板杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F290[经济管理—国民经济]