金融发展、城镇化对城乡收入差距的作用机理及动态分析  

Dynamic Analysis of Mechanism of Financial Development and Urbanization on Urban-Rural Income Gap

作　　者：张英丽 杨正勇[1] Zhang Yingli, Yang Zhengyong(College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, Chin)

机构地区：[1]上海海洋大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《统计与决策》2018年第5期84-88,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：国家现代农业产业技术体系建设专项项目(CAR-50-G11)

摘　　要：文章基于城乡二元经济框架,构建金融发展、城镇化对城乡居民收入差距影响的理论模型,并利用向量误差修正模型（VECM）对其动态关系进行实证检验。结果发现：（1）金融发展、城镇化均会加大城乡收入差距,且金融发展比城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响更大。（2）长期内金融发展、城镇化与城乡收入差距长期内具有稳定的均衡关系。（3）金融发展与城镇化可以在短期内对城乡收入差距产生影响,而城乡收入差距的反馈影响则具有滞后性。Based on the urban-rural dualistic economic structure, this paper builds a theoretical model of mechanism of financial development and urbanization on urban-rural income gap, and employs Vector Error Correction Model （VECM） to empirically analyze the dynamic relation. The results show that （1） both financial development and urbanization widen the urban-rural income gap, and the impact of financial development on the urban-rural income gap is greater than that of urbanization; （2） financial development, urbanization and urban-rural income gap have a stable and balanced relationship in a long run; （3） financial development and urbanization influences the urban-rural income gap in a short time, while the feedback effect of the urban-rural income gap is lagging behind.

关 键 词：金融发展 城镇化 城乡收入差距 VECM 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]