基于主体的建模方法与宏观经济政策分析  

Agent-based Modeling and Macroeconomic Policy Analysis

作　　者：隆云滔 李洪涛[2] 王国成[3] Long Yuntao1, Li Hongtao2, Wang Guocheng3(1. Institutes of Science and Development, CAS, Beijing 100190, China; 2.Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, MOFCOM, Beijing 100710, China; 3. Institute of Quantitative ＆ Technical Economics, CASS, Beijing 100732, Chin)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京100190 [2]商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院,北京100710 [3]中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所,北京100732

出　　处：《经济与管理》2018年第2期47-52,80,共7页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71471177);北京市科委课题(Z171100003017040)

摘　　要：基于主体的建模方法为经济政策分析提供了新的研究视角与工具,对复杂环境下的经济政策评估与政策建议具有很好的指导作用。近年来,该方法在宏观经济政策特别是财政政策、货币政策以及银行监管等对微观基础的交互适应性及区分度方面提供了新的思路,在我国收入分配政策方面也有相关应用。相比其他研究方法,基于主体的建模方法,可为我国新时代宏观经济政策的制定与发展提供新的见解。Agent-based modeling supplies new research aspect and tool for economic policy analysis. It will be good guidance for economy policy measurement and policy suggestions in the complicated environment. Recently, this method in the macroeconomic policy especially the fiscal policy, monetary policy and banking supervision interaction adaptability and the degree of differentiation of microeconomic foundation provides a new train of thought, in the income distribution policies in China also have related applications. Compared to other research methods, agent-based modeling provides new insights for the making and development of China＇s macroeconomic policy in new age.

关 键 词：基于主体的建模方法 经济政策分析 微观经济行为 

分 类 号：F202[经济管理—国民经济]