北京雾霾风险探究与治理策略分析  

Haze Risk Analysis and Governance Strategy in Beijing

作　　者：谭志斌 邢瑶瑶[1] 周珍[1] 林云[1] 崔笑颖 TAN Zhi-bin1, XING Yao-yao1, ZHOU Zhen1, LIN Yun1, CUI Xiao-ying2(1. School of Management, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100089, China ;2. School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China)

机构地区：[1]首都师范大学管理学院,北京100089 [2]中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京100190

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2018年第6期109-117,共9页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金(9152002);北京市人力资源和社会保障局留学择优资助重点项目;北京市教委科技面上项目(KM201310028020;KM201410028020);首都师范大学科技交叉科研项目;首都师范大学“京津冀一体化建设研究”专项

摘　　要：结合北京雾霾跨界传输矩阵，构建了PM2．5治理的成本函数，从雾霾健康风险与经济风险这两个方面估算了北京市雾霾造成的本地风险和外来风险．结论表明：2016年，雾霾给北京市带来82．75亿元的健康风险，48．71亿元的经济损失风险，总计131．46亿元．由于邻近区域跨界传输带给北京的风险占44．69亿元，因此，北京有强烈意愿与邻近区域合作治理雾霾．Based on Beijing haze transboundary transmission matrix, this paper constructs the cost function of PM2.5 treatment, and estimates the local and external risks caused by haze in Beijing from two aspects： the health risk and the economic risk of haze. The conclusion shows that in 2016, the haze brought a health risk of 8.275 billion yuan to Beijing and the risk of economic loss of 4.871 billion yuan, totaling 13.146 billion yuan. As the risk of cross-border transmission from neighboring areas to Beijing amounts to 4,4 billion yuan, Beijing has a strong will to cooperate with neighboring regions to control haze.

关 键 词：雾霾健康风险 雾霾经济损失风险 雾霾直接治理成本 

分 类 号：X513[环境科学与工程—环境工程]