“中蒙俄经济走廊”经济效应实证分析——基于GTAP模型的模拟分析  

Empirical Analysis of Economic Effect of “Sino-Mongolian Economic Corridor”

作　　者：李艳华[1] 戴丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]黑龙江东方学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150066

出　　处：《对外经贸》2018年第2期6-8,共3页FOREIGN ECONOMIC RELATIONS & TRADE

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学项目"‘四化’同步推进东北地区产业结构优化和转型升级的联动效应研究"(项目编号:13YJA790028);黑龙江省哲学社会科学项目"‘中蒙俄经济走廊’经济效应研究"(项目编号:16JLE01)

摘　　要：利用GTAP模型对"中蒙俄经济走廊"经济效应进行实证分析,结果表明"中蒙俄经济走廊"建立后有利于加强区域内贸易合作,扩大产品的销售数量,提高中蒙俄三国的经济效益以及居民福利。并提出我国应加强与俄蒙产能与投资合作,深化三方经贸合作,实现宏观战略、产业项目和技术标准对接。This paper uses the GTAP model to forecast the economic effect brought by the China,Mongolia and Rus- sian Economy Corridor. The results show that after the establishment of ＂China,Mongolia and Russian Economy Cor- ridor＂, intra - regional trade cooperation will be strengthen, the number of products will be increased greatly and the economic development of the three countries will be promoted and economic efficiency will be improved. The growth rate of GDP and welfare of the countries along ＂China.Mongolia and Russian Economy Corridor＂ will be enhanced to various extent. Therefore, China should strengthen its capacity and investment cooperation with Mongolia and Russia and deepen economic and trade cooperation, linking up with Mongolia and Russia in macro - strategy,industrial pro- jects and technical standards in order to achieve a win - win situation.

关 键 词：“中蒙俄经济走廊” 经济效应 GTAP模型 

分 类 号：F740.22[经济管理—国际贸易]