中国与金砖国家贸易隐含碳比较研究  

A Comparative Study of China's Trade Embodied Carbon with Other BRICS Countries

作　　者：郑珍远 李小敏 张茂盛 

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《亚太经济》2018年第2期62-67,150,共6页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"城镇化;结构转型与政府公共投资"(13FGL001);福建省社科规划项目"基于IOM的福建省三次产业的动态比较分析"(2014B094)资助

摘　　要：在多区域投入产出模型(MRIO)基础上建立隐含碳测算模型,计算2000-2014年间中国与金砖国家贸易隐含碳含量,并采用结构分析模型(SDA)对其出口贸易隐含碳进行了影响因素分解。结果表明:除2008年出现短暂负增长外,中国对金砖国家的进口和出口贸易隐含碳排放量大致呈现双向增长趋势,中国对金砖国家净出口贸易隐含碳量有负有正。出口总量为主要的正效应影响因素,直接碳排放系数为主要的负效应影响因素。因此,中国应该转变贸易增长方式,优化进出口产品结构,扩大服务贸易份额;提高能源利用效率,发展清洁能源;权衡环境与贸易关系,推动低碳经济发展;积极承担国际责任和义务,参与应对全球气候谈判。China's trade embodied carbon with other BRICS countries was calculated from 2000 to 2014 by means of the multi-regional input-output model( MRIO). Moreover,the method of structural decomposition analysis( SDA) was applied to study the influence factors of carbon emissions embodied in export. T he results show that China's import and export trade with other BRICS countries imply a two-way trend of embodied carbon emissions besides a brief negative growth in 2008. In addition,other BRICS countries with China's net trade embodied carbon emissions are both in negative and positive values. T he total export volume is the main positive effect factor,and the direct carbon emission coefficient is the main negative impact factor. T herefore,China should change the trade growth mode,optimize the export product structure,expand the share of trade in services,improve energy efficiency,develop clean energy,balance the relationship between trade and environment,promote the development of low carbon economy,undertake international responsibilities and obligations actively,participation in global climate negotiations in order to reduce carbon emissions.

关 键 词：贸易隐含碳 金砖国家 多区域投入产出模型 结构分解技术 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]