灰色系统理论在用水指标预测中的应用  

Application of Grey System Theory in Prediction of Water Consumption Indexes

作　　者：李骁翔 Li Xiaoxiang(Shanghai Water Supply Administration, Shanghai 200081 ,C h i n a)

机构地区：[1]上海市供水管理处,上海200081

出　　处：《净水技术》2018年第4期116-120,126,共6页Water Purification Technology

摘　　要：根据灰色系统理论,针对用水量指标建立了灰色预测模型GM(1,1),给出GM(1,1)模型的求解方法,并以实际用水量指标验证了该模型的预测结果优于传统的预测方法,具有一定的实用价值,也为今后水务统计管理提供了新的思路和理论支撑。According to gray system theory,a gray prediction model GM（1, 1） is established for water consumption in d ex e s ,an d the model of solving method can be obtained. The prediction results of the model are better than traditional forecasting method with actual water consumption indexes. This method not only has a certain practical value,but also provides a new way of thinking and theoretical support for the future management of water statistics.

关 键 词：用水量指标 灰色系统理论 预测 应用 

分 类 号：TU991.3[建筑科学—市政工程]