2017年中国农产品贸易发展特点及未来展望  

China's Agricultural Products Trade Development in 2017 and Its Prospect

作　　者：韩一军[1] 郝晓燕[1] Han Yijun;Hao Xiaoyan(College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083)

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《农业展望》2018年第3期88-92,共5页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：农业部农业农村资源监测国际农业研究体系(081721301112421005)

摘　　要：2017年世界经济继续改善和全球经济复苏,主要农产品供应较为充足,价格持续低位徘徊,中国农产品贸易总额、进出口额均实现增长。在国内农产品需求上涨、农产品成本推动以及政策支撑的作用下,部分粮食、油料等农产品价格呈现上涨趋势。根据当前国内外宏观经济的发展形势、全球农产品供需状况及国家政策影响,预判未来中国粮、棉、油、糖等大宗农产品仍将继续全面净进口,农产品出口市场将呈现多元化。As the world economy continued to improve and the global economy recovered in 2017, the supply ofmajor agricultural products was adequate, the prices remained in a low level, and the total trade value and export and import value of China＇s agricultural products all increased. Under the influencing of rising demand for domestic agricultural products, the increase in the cost of agricultural products and the driving force ofpolicy support, the prices of some food, oil and other agricultural products were showing a rising trend. Based on influences of the current domestic and international macroeconomic situation, the supply and demand situation of global agricultural products and national policies, the authors predicted that the overall net imports of grain, cotton, oil, sugar and other agricultural commodities would probably continue, and the export markets for agricultural products would present diversified.

关 键 词：农产品 供需 贸易 成本 价差 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.6