铁路专用线平交道口碰撞危险性分析  

An Analysis on Collision Risk at Grade Crossing of a Special Railway Line

作　　者：石红国[1] 饶煜 罗望 张鹏[1] SHI Hong-guo;RAO Yu;LUO Wang;ZHANG Peng(School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道运输与经济》2018年第4期69-74,共6页Railway Transport and Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U1334201)

摘　　要：针对铁路专用线平交道口碰撞事故频发这一问题,分析导致碰撞事故发生的因素,构建铁路专用线平交道口碰撞概率模型,计算汽车与列车碰撞一次所造成的直接经济损失和间接经济损失,并得出一年内铁路专用线平交道口发生碰撞事故的期望经济损失,以评估铁路专用线平交道口的危险性。以郭白铁路专用线平交道口进行实例分析,验证铁路专用线平交道口碰撞概率模型的可行性,为有效提高铁路专用线平交道口危险性分析和安全管理水平提供理论依据。It owns high theoretical and practical values to evaluate dangers of level crossing in railway industrial siding. Aiming at the issues of frequent accident of level crossing, this paper analyzes the factors causing the accident, builds an accident probability model of level crossing of railway industrial siding, and calculates the direct and indirect economic losses caused by the collision between cars and trains. The expected economic losses within one year is calculated, which can be used to evaluate the criticality of level crossing of railway industrial siding, and provide the basis and reference for relevant units to safety management level crossing scientifically and rationally. In the end, this paper verifies its validity by taking the industrial siding of Guo-Bai railway as an example.

关 键 词：铁路 专用线 平交道口 碰撞概率模型 期望经济损失 

分 类 号：U298.55[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]