“索洛悖论”的存在性研究——基于江苏省地级市的经验证据  

Research on the Existence of “Solow Paradox”——Evidence from Cities of Jiangsu Province

作　　者：陈欢 周密[2] 闫文凯[3] CHEN Huan;ZHOU Mi;YAN Wen-kai(School of Economics, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing 211815;Institute of Economic and Social Development, Nankai University, Tianfin 300071;Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Scienees, Beijing 100190)

机构地区：[1]南京审计大学经济学院,南京211815 [2]南开大学经济与社会发展研究院,天津300071 [3]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100190

出　　处：《软科学》2018年第4期100-104,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(15BJL100);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(17YJC790007)

摘　　要：从＂索洛悖论＂出发,利用江苏省1996~2014年13个地级市的数据,检验＂索洛悖论＂在中国的存在性;在此基础上,进一步考察ICT对苏南、苏中和苏北地区全要素生产率的影响差异。结果表明：＂索洛悖论＂在中国是存在的;ICT对全要素生产率的影响存在明显的地区异质性。苏南、苏中和苏北地区ICT前的系数值分别为0.0048、-0.0335和-0.0452,说明随着经济发展水平的提高,ICT对全要素生产率的负向影响将会逐渐减弱且最终会转变为正向促进作用。Based on the ＂Solow paradox＂,this paper uses the data of 13 prefecture-level cities in Jiangsu Province during1996-2014,to examine whether the＂Solow＇s Paradox＂exists in China. By dividing Jiangsu into three regions： southern Jiangsu,middle Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu,it examines the differences between ICT and total factor productivity in different regions. Results show that the ＂Solow paradox＂exists in China,and the effect of ICT on TFP has obvious regional differences： the coefficient values before ICT are 0.0048,-0.0335 and-0.0452 in southern Jiangsu,central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu respectively,indicating that the higher the economic development level,the negative effect of factor productivity is smaller,and eventually transforms into a positive role in promoting.

关 键 词：索洛悖论 信息通信技术 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F062.5[经济管理—政治经济学]