住房制度改革与中国城市青年住房获得--基于住房生涯视角和离散时间事件史模型的研究  

Housing Reform and Housing Acquisition for Chinese Urban Youth: Research on Housing Career Perspective and Discrete-Time Event History Model

作　　者：吴开泽 魏万青[2] 

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学社会与公共管理学院 [2]广西大学公共管理学院广西高校人文社科重点基地"区域社会治理创新中心"

出　　处：《公共行政评论》2018年第2期36-61,190,共26页Journal of Public Administration

基　　金：国家社科基金项目“生命历程视角下农民工市民化基本公共服务精准匹配研究(16BSH128)、上海市软科学研究领域重点项目“上海青年人才公共住房供应与服务机制研究((18692104700)、北京大学-林肯中心研究基金项目“新型城镇化背景下新市民住房贫困应对机制研究((FS-2016100107)、上海高校青年教师培养资助计划项目“生命历程视角的特大城市知识移民住房贫困精准帮扶研究”(ZZGCD16015)、广东省社科规划学科共建项目“城市住房资源分化及其社会效应：以广州为例的实证研究((GD13XSH03)

摘　　要：基于住房生涯视角和离散时间事件史模型,研究城市青年首套住房产权获得的时期和世代差异。住房市场化进程中城市住房获得的途径和方式发生深刻变化,青年住房获得的时期、世代和城乡地域差异明显,年轻世代住房生涯具有低龄化和跳跃式特征。城市青年住房获得受单位和户籍等制度因素、生命事件、家庭禀赋、职业地位和地区市场化程度影响。在住房市场化进程中,制度因素和地区市场化水平对住房获得的影响显化,父辈教育程度在房地产市场阶段影响增强,"80后"职业地位的影响减弱。房价上涨和住房分化可能形成以住房财产为标志的刚性社会分层结构,阻碍市民化和城镇化进程。论文认为,住房制度改革应形成多主体住房供应模式,建立有效兼顾社会功能和市场功能的住房政策,从而有效解决城市青年住房问题。From a housing career perspective,and using a discrete-time event history model,this study investigated the period and cohort differences for the first housing acquisitions of Chinese urban youth. During housing marketization, the period difference,cohort difference,and regional difference were obvious for housing acquisitions among China's urban youth. The youth cohort's housing career showsa tendency foryounger agesbut also skipping. Housing acquisitions by China's urban youth mayalso be influenced by institutional factors, life events, family endowment, occupational status,and degree of marketization. But the institutional factors and marketability level de-manifested as theimpacts of the elder generation's educational status increased and theimpacts of the occupational status of the 1980s generation decreased. This intensifiedthe urban youth's housing differentiation. As shown in the research,rising housing prices and housing market differentiation may have formed a rigid social stratification that is marked by housing property. Thiscould hinder China's ongoing citizenship and urbanization processes.

关 键 词：城市青年 住房产权 住房生涯 时期差异 世代差异 

分 类 号：D63[政治法律—政治学]