市场潜能与工业增长——基于长江中游城市群地级城市数据的实证研究  

Market Potential and Industrial Growth——An Empirical Study Base on Urban Data of Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of Yangtze River

作　　者：蒋亮[1,2] JIANG Liang(Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis ＆ Simulation of Hubei province, Wuhan 430079, Hubei, China;College of Urban and Environmental Science, Central China Normal University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China)

机构地区：[1]华中师范大学地理过程分析与模拟湖北省重点实验室,湖北武汉430079 [2]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,湖北武汉430079

出　　处：《工业经济论坛》2018年第2期91-97,105,共8页Industrial Economy Review

摘　　要：基于新经济地理学框架下的市场潜能模型,计算长江中游城市群地市区域的市场潜能,然后以2007-2014年长江中游城市群31个地市组成的面板数据为基础,采用固定效应模型检验市场潜能与地区工业增长关系。结果发现,市场潜能对长江中游城市群工业增长有明显的正效应,其对工业增长的贡献率超过从业人员数、政府干预程度和全社会固定资产投资。但是现实中由于各地市间工业制成品的自由进入性较低,导致工业增长与城市群外部市场潜能呈现负相关。基于此,提出相关的政策建议。Based on the market potential equation of new economic geography and the panel data of 31 city units of urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of Yangtze River from 2007 to 2014, using the methods of econometric analysis to measure impact of market potential on the regional industrial growth. The result shows that the market potential has a significant promoting effect on the industrial growth of urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. However, the reality of urban industrial products into the external market of the urban agglomeration is relatively low degree of freedom, so that it can not make external market potential into industrial growth momentum, leading to regional industrial growth and urban agglomerations external market potential negative correlation. Then the study draws some political implications based on the analyses.

关 键 词：市场潜能 市场进入性 市区工业增长 实证检验 长江中游城市群 

分 类 号：F424.1[经济管理—产业经济]