2018年中国物价走势分析与判断  

Analysis of the Price Movement of China in 2018

作　　者：虞华[1] 许欣 虞丽娜 YU Hua;XU Xin;YU Li-na(Yancheng Teachers University, Yancheng Jiangsu 224000;Yancheng Investigation Team, National Bureau of Statistics of the PRC, Yancheng Jiangsu 224005;Yancheng Branch of China Post, Yancheng Jiangsu 224000)

机构地区：[1]盐城师范学院,江苏盐城224000 [2]国家统计局盐城调查队,江苏盐城224005 [3]中国邮政集团公司盐城市分公司,江苏盐城224000

出　　处：《天津商务职业学院学报》2018年第2期3-7,共5页Journal of Tianjin College of Commerce

摘　　要：2017年中国物价总体保持平稳、低位运行态势。2018年,将影响物价走势的城乡居民收入增长、人工成本的上升、资源品价格的走高、供给侧去产能的持续推进等推动物价上涨的因素,与稳健的货币政策、房地产市场调控、市场竞争等抑制物价上涨因素对冲后,对中国物价走势的基本判断是:物价总水平保持前高后低,整体温和上行的运行态势。In 2017, the prices in China generally remained steady in the low range. In 2018,the author predicts that rise of prices is going to happen for many factors： income increase of residents both in cities and rural areas, raise of labor cost, going-up price of resource goods and continuous cutting of overcapacity on the supply-side. However, in view of some price-inhibiting factors-the prudent monetary policy and the real estate control, the general price level in 2018 will remain higher in the first half of the year and go down in the second half, keeping a moderate upgoing trend on the whole.

关 键 词：CPI波动 PPI传导 要素价格 货币政策 宏观调控 

分 类 号：F726[经济管理—产业经济]