非常规突发事件的通信保障应急决策研究  

Research on Emergency Decision Making of Communication Guarantee for Unconventional Emergencies

作　　者：樊自甫[1] 李汶沁 孙红[1] Fan Zifu;Li Wenqin;Sun Hong(School of Economics and Management, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, Chin)

机构地区：[1]重庆邮电大学经济管理学院,重庆400065

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2018年第8期224-230,共7页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"公共突发事件通信保障应急预案的有效性评估方法及应用"(12XGL015);教育部人文社会科学基金规划项目"非常规突发事件下应急通信预案体系有效性评估理论和方法"(11YJA630016)

摘　　要：通信畅通是应对处理突发事件的重要基础,通信保障应急决策直接关系到突发事件发生后应急保障工作的顺利进行。文章确立由决策属性和条件属性构成的非常规突发事件通信保障应急决策指标体系,构建非常规突发事件的通信保障应急决策模型;首先运用优势粗糙集进行属性约简,其次基于最近邻法构建相似历史突发事件集,最后使用灰色关联分析计算灰色关联度并排序,确定能够对当前发生的突发事件提供应急决策支撑的历史突发事件的通信应急决策方案;进一步通过算例表明该模型和方法的有效性和可行性。Communication is an important basis for dealing with emergencies, and emergency decision making of communi- cation guarantee is directly related to the success of emergency guarantee after the emergencies. The paper establishes an index system of emergency decision making of communication guarantee that contains condition attribute and decision attribute, constructs the model of emergeney decision making of communication guarantee. Step 1 is making the attribute reduction by priority rough sets; step 2 is establishing similar historical event sets by nearest neighbor method; step 3 is determining emergency decision projects of communication guarantee by calculating and sorting gray correlation degree ; finally, the example demonstrates the effectiveness and feasibility of this method.

关 键 词：通信保障 应急决策 优势粗糙集 最近邻法 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F623[经济管理—产业经济] F224