供给侧改革与我国经济增长的实证研究  

Empirical Study on Supply-side Reform and Economic Growth in China

作　　者：张倩[1] 竺杏月[1] Zhang Qian;Zhu Xingyue(Business School,Sanjiang University,Nanjing 210012)

机构地区：[1]三江学院商学院

出　　处：《现代经济信息》2018年第6期1-2,共2页Modern Economic Information

基　　金：2016年度江苏高校哲学社会科学研究项目<供给侧改革下江苏省产业结构调整与经济增长研究>(项目编号:2016SJD790016);国家社科基金一般项目<供给侧改革视角下我国经济增长动力转换研究>(项目编号:16bjl056)的支持

摘　　要：供给侧改革背景下,基于1978到2016年的数据,利用计量经济学模型,分析了消费、投资和进出口与我国经济增长的关系,实证结果表明,消费、投资与净出口对我国经济增长都有明显的推动作用,且消费对经济的带动作用越来越明显。在此基础上利用面板数据模型,分析了区域经济与三大需求相互之间的关系,并指出,传统的投资和净出口已不能带动经济的可持续发展,必须适时转变经济增长动力。Based on the data from 1978 to 2016, this paper analyzes the relationship between consumption, investment, import and export and China＇s economic growth by using econometric modelin China＇s supply-side reform. The empirical results show that consumption, investment and net exports havea significant role in promoting China＇s economic growth, and the role of consumption on the economy is more and more obvious. On the basis of this, panel data model is used to analyze the relationship between regional economy and the three major demands. It also points out that the traditional investment and net exports can no longer promote the sustainabledevelopment of economy and must change the driving force of economic growth in time.

关 键 词：供给侧改革 经济增长 实证分析 

分 类 号：F121[经济管理—世界经济]