中国木材对外贸易依存度问题研究  

Study on the Dependence of Foreign Trade of China’s Timber

作　　者：史莹赫 于豪谅[1] 田明华[1] Shi Yinghe;Yu Haoliang;Tian Minghua(School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《林业经济》2018年第4期25-32,共8页Forestry Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目“低碳经济下中国木质林产品贸易政策转型研究”(编号:13YJA790106);北京林业大学青年教师科学研究中长期项目“经济新常态下中国林产品贸易转型升级研究”(编号:2015ZCQ-JG-02);国家林业局业务委托项目“中国林业供给侧结构性改革政策研究”(编号:20170101)

摘　　要：文章通过对现有中国木材对外贸易依存度研究中的定义、算法、统计口径、数据来源进行归纳总结，提出了应用原木折算法测算木材资源供给进口依存度和木材消费净进口依存度的具体算法，确定了使用的原木当量系数及在纵向比较和横向比较中应用的林产品统计口径范围、数据来源。利用该算法的测算结果显示，2014年中国木材资源供给进口依存度和木材消费净进口依存度分别为39．98％和23．32％，2002-2014年均呈现先下降再上升的趋势，与世界主要林产品进口国相比较，均处于中等水平。After analyzing the definitions, measuring methods, statistical caliber and data sources of the existing re- searches, this paper put forward the measuring methods of the import dependence of timber resources and the net import dependence of timber consumption by the log conversion method, defined the log conversion coefficient, the statistical caliber and the data sources in the longitudinal and horizontal comparison. Using this adjusted log conversion method, the calculation result showed that China＇ s import dependence of timber resources were 39.98% and China＇ s net import dependence of timber consumption were 23.32% in 2014, both of them showed the first declining and then rising trend from 2002 to 2014, both of them were at the medium level compared with the world＇ s major forest products importing countries.

关 键 词：木材 对外贸易依存度 算法 测算评估 

分 类 号：F307.24[经济管理—产业经济]