基于直觉模糊集的公路PPP项目物有所值评价  

Evaluation of VFM of PPP Project Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set

作　　者：潘鹏程[1] 王红倩 PAN Peng-cheng, WANG Hong-qian(School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao Hebei 066004, Chin)

机构地区：[1]燕山大学建筑工程与力学学院,河北秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《公路交通科技》2018年第5期142-150,共9页Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71171141)

摘　　要：物有所值(Value For Money,VFM)是判断是否采用政府和社会资本合作(Public-Private-Partnership,PPP)模式代替政府传统采购模式实施基础设施及公共服务项目的一种评估方法。公路基础设施PPP项目的服务性和公益属性决定其具有很强的社会效益,因此,结合《PPP物有所值评价指引(试行)》和相关文献,在细化基本评价指标、补充评价指标的基础上,添加了社会效益综合指标,将交通功能效益、社会经济适应性、环境影响、资源利用4方面内容作为物有所值评价指标体系的内容。改进了以往物有所值评价指标过于粗放,及对PPP模式下社会效益的价值考虑不足的问题。在物有所值的评价过程中,专家评价信息往往具有模糊性,并且在其决策过程中存在犹豫度。将直觉模糊集理论引入物有所值评价中,建立了考虑社会效益基于直觉模糊集的物有所值评价决策模型。解决了评价过程中专家权重、指标权重的确定以及专家评价信息的综合得分问题,以确定是否采用PPP模式实施该项目。该方法可以解决传统的VFM评价方法中专家评价信息不能充分表达以及需要多次评价数据来确定评价指标权重和专家权重的问题,根据不同项目的具体情况,利用一次评价数据可同时确定评价指标权重和专家权重,使评价过程更为便捷、评价结果更加接近实际。Value for Money（ VFM） is an assessment method for judging whether government and publicprivate partnerships（ PPP） are used in place of the government ＇ s traditional procurement mode to implement infrastructure and public services. The service and public welfare attributes of road infrastructure PPP projects determined its strong social benefit. Therefore,combining with PPP VFM Evaluation Guidelines（ Trial） and related literatures,based on the refinement of the basic evaluation indexes and supplementary evaluation indexes,a comprehensive index of social benefit is added,and traffic functional benefit,social economic adaptability,environmental impact,and resource utilization are taken as the contents of VFM evaluation index system. Thus,the situation of the past too extensive VFM evaluation index system,and the shortcoming of insufficient consideration of social benefits under PPP model has been improved. In the process of evaluating the VFM,the expert evaluation information is often vague,and there is a hesitation in the decision-making process. The theory of intuitionistic fuzzy set is introduced into VFM evaluation,and the VFM evaluation decision-making model based on intuitionistic fuzzy set and considering social benefit is established. The weights of experts and evaluation indexes, and the comprehensive score of experts ＇evaluation information are used to determine whether the PPP mode is adopted to implement the project. Thismethod can solve the problem that the experts＇ information cannot fully expressed and multiple data have to be needed to determine the weights of experts and evaluation indexes in the traditional VFM evaluation method. According to the specific circumstances of different projects,a set of evaluation data can determine the evaluation index weights and expert weights at same time,which makes the evaluation result more concise and more practical.

关 键 词：运输经济 物有所值 直觉模糊 PPP项目 社会效益 

分 类 号：F502[经济管理—产业经济]