BBC效率模型下区域产业承接效率测度:以长江经济带为例  

Research on the Measurement of Industrial Undertaking Efficiency Based on BBC Efficiency Model:Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as an Example

作　　者：徐新华[1] 郭露[2] Xu Xinhua;Guo Lu(School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031,China;School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China)

机构地区：[1]南昌大学经济管理学院,江西南昌330031 [2]江西财经大学统计学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2018年第10期130-137,共8页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41361102);江西省高校人文社会科学项目(TJ17201)

摘　　要：长江经济带作为"一带一路"国内沿线地理意义上的国内区域,涉及省(市)的产业梯度转移与产业转入地的产业承接活动频繁。但长期单向产业"高-低"转移使得区内省份间的产业趋同性严重,产业资源利用效率结构性失衡。借鉴距离协调度模型对效率模型进行合理改进,通过分析2006-2015年经济带内的面板数据,测算出区内各省(直辖市)产业承接效率,并探讨区域产业整体承接效率值与经济增长的门槛效应,进而分别以二、三产业增加值作为经济增长因变量考察门槛值变动状况。结果发现:长江经济带内各省(直辖市)产业承接效率整体不高,各省产业承接效率与自身经济发展不存在线性关系,总体呈现出衰退趋势。以二、三产业增加值为因变量的产业转移效率测算结果则表现出在各自阈值内分别加速转移和减速转移现象,即区内第二产业承接效率总体趋缓,第三产业承接效率总体加速。相对来说,两个直辖市的产业内生性较显著。Yangtze river economic zone as a ＂road along the way＂ along the geographical sense of the connection, the region involved in the province of industrial gradient transfer and industrial transfer to the industry to undertake frequent activi ties. But the long term one way industrial high and low transfer makes the industry within the regional convergence of serious, industrial resource utilization efficiency structural imbalance. In this paper, theefficiency model is used to improve the efficiency model, and the efficiency of the industry in each province （municipalities） is measured by using the panel da ta of 200~ 2015 in the economic zone. The efficiency of regional industrial undertaking and economic growth of the threshold effect, and then to the second and third industry added value as a factor of economic growth clue to changes in the value of the threshold changes. It is found that the industrial undertaking efficiency of the provinces （municipalities） in the Yangtze river economic zone is not high as a whole, and there is no linear relationship between the efficiency of the indus tries in the provinces and their own economic development stages, and the overall trend is declining. The efficiency of in dustrial transfer in the second and third industries shows that there are accelerated transfer and slowdown in the respective thresholds. That is： the overall efficiency of the secondary industry in the region to slow down, the tertiary industry to un dertake the overall efficiency of the accelerated. The relative endogeneity of the two municipalities is relatively obvious.

关 键 词：长江经济带 产业承接效率 BBC效率模型 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]