中国“一带一路”地缘政治研究进展与展望  

A review of The Belt and Road Initiative studies from the perspective of geopolitics

作　　者：周强[1,2] 杨宇 刘毅[1,2] 翟崑 ZHOU Qiang;YANG Yu;LIU Yi;ZHAI Kun(Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing100049, China;School of International Studies, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [2]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049 [3]北京大学国际关系学院,北京100871

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2018年第3期1-10,64,共11页World Regional Studies

基　　金：中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA20040400);中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所秉维人才计划项目(2016RC202);国家自然科学基金项目(41371141;41401132)

摘　　要："一带一路"倡议作为中国主动塑造周边环境,引导世界新变革的战略举措,其实施将引起区域性乃至全球性的地缘政治新现象和地缘战略新问题。"一带一路"建设是发展中国家发起并主导的、以中国为网络枢纽引发的全球地缘板块"共振",尽管有学者认为"一带一路"并非地缘政治战略,但是不可否认一定程度上"一带一路"具有与生俱来的地缘战略属性。地缘政治作为分析世界政治经济发展的重要视角,可用来理解全球地缘政治变化的驱动因素,为维护各国国家利益的重大决策提供思路和理论借鉴。为此,本研究试图从理论、动机、环境、效应、风险、策略等方面客观地论述不同学者和国家行为体对"一带一路"的认识,以及"一带一路"客观上所形成地缘关系的变化。针对相关研究进展,提出未来应进一步探索构建相关地缘政治理论,解释"一带一路"引发的新现象和新问题;深化"一带一路"地缘环境分析;科学评估"一带一路"地缘战略效应和风险,加强地缘政治学科体系建设和人才培养等,以此提高服务国家对外战略决策的理论价值和实践价值。The Belt and Road Initiative（BRI）, comprising of the land-based＂Silk Road Economic Belt＂and the ＂Maritime Silk Road of the 21 st Century＂,was put forward in 2013. The essence of BRI is to promote regional and cross-continental connectivity between China and other countries along the Belt and the Road. As an important strategy pursued by China in the new era,BRI will surely have significant geopolitical and strategic impacts in reshaping the global geopolitics. In a widely accepted form, geopolitics give us indicators and analytical methods about the reality of international relations, and provide ideas and theoretical support for strategic decision-making. Researchers have carried out many studies in geopolitics and political geography about the BRI, This review tries to objectively discuss the views and opinions of scholars about the BRI from the perspective of geopolitics, including theory, motivation, environment, impact, risk and strategic approaches. We propose some future research directions based on the analysis, which might address these shortcomings, including constructing some geopolitical theories to explain new phenomena and problems caused by BRI;improving evaluation study of geostrategic effect and risks, promote in-depth studies in the analysis of the geopolitical environment.

关 键 词：一带一路 丝绸之路 丝绸之路经济带 21世纪海上丝绸之路 地缘政治 

分 类 号：K901.4[历史地理—人文地理学]