2017年牛羊肉市场形势分析及2018年展望  

Beef and Mutton Markets in 2017 and Their Outlooks for 2018

作　　者：孟阳[1] 张剑波[1] Meng Yang;Zhang Jianbo(China International Electronic Commerce Center, Beijing 100006)

机构地区：[1]中国国际电子商务中心,北京100006

出　　处：《农业展望》2018年第5期9-12,共4页Agricultural Outlook

摘　　要：2017年全球牛羊肉产量小幅增加,牛肉贸易复苏,羊肉贸易缩减;中国牛羊肉市场供需收紧,价格恢复性上涨,羊肉价格涨幅较大。综合考虑供需、贸易、成本等因素,预计2018年中国牛羊肉价格继续稳中上涨。现阶段,中国牛羊产业存在供给增长缓慢、规模化程度低、市场竞争力不强等问题,为推进产业持续健康发展,应加大信贷支持力度,引导农牧民转变生产方式,推进产销衔接模式,探索建立肉牛和肉羊保险制度。In 2017, the global production of beef and mutton increased slightly, and the beef trade rebounded, but the mutton trade shrank; the supply and demand of the China＇s beef and mutton markets tightened, and the price of beef and mutton rose, in particular, the price of mutton increased greatly. Synthetically considering the factors such as supply and demand, trade, cost and so on, it is expected that the prices of beef and mutton in China will continue rising steadily in 2018. At the present stage, there are some problems such as slow supply growth, low scale, weak market competitiveness and others in China＇s cattle and sheep industries. In order to promote the sustainable and healthy development of the industry, the authors proposed to increase the credit support, guide the farmers and herdsmen to change the mode of production, promote the connection mode of production and marketing, and explore and establish the insurance system of beef cattle and mutton sheep.

关 键 词：牛羊肉 市场 供需 价格 贸易 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]