上世纪80年代美国放弃对台出售FX战机的决策模式考察——兼论美台军售的理性行为体模式及其理论限度  

A Study on the US Decision Mode to Abandon Its FX Fighters Sale to Taiwan in 1980s——Also on the Rational Actor Mode and Its Theoretical Limit of the US-Taiwan Arms Sales

作　　者：钟厚涛[1] Zhong Houtao

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院台湾研究所,北京100732

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2018年第2期17-24,共8页Taiwan Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目"美国对台湾民进党的影响与中国大陆的对策研究"(16CGJ015)

摘　　要：上世纪80年代初美国准备向台出售FX战机,但最终放弃。本文尝试以此为例,深度解析在这一议题上美国行政部门与国会之间、行政部门内部、国会内部的对撞和妥协。研究发现,对于美台军售,一方面需要从理性行为体的模式来洞察中美之间的战略博弈,另一方面也必须结合跨机构政治模式、官僚机构模式等来分析美国内部在这一议题上的分歧和争议,只有如此才能揭示出美国对台军售内部决策过程的全貌,也才能为有效化解美国对台军售难题提出更具针对性的对策建议。In early 1980 s,the United States was prepared to sell FX fighters to Taiwan,but finally gave up. Taking this as an example,this paper attempts to make an in-depth analysis of the conflicts and compromises over this issue between US administration and Congress and within the executive branch and Congress. The findings show that we should,in terms of arms sales between United States and Taiwan,have a penetrating insight into the strategic game between China and the United States according to the mode of rational actor,and at the same time,analyze the differences and disputes within the United States over this issue by combing with the cross-agency political model and the bureaucratic model. Only in this way can we get a thorough understanding of the internal decision-making process of US arms sales to Taiwan and come up with more targeted countermeasures.

关 键 词：美国对台军售 理性行为体 理论限度 

分 类 号：E289.58[军事—军事理论]