肯定列表制度对中国出口农产品质量的影响——基于微观数据视角  

Effect of Positive List System on Quality of China's Agricultural Exports——A Micro-level Data Analysis

作　　者：陈容[1] 许和连[2] CHEN Rong, XU Helian

机构地区：[1]湖南农业大学经济学院 [2]湖南大学经济与贸易学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2018年第5期68-77,共10页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"‘一带一路’相关国家贸易竞争与互补关系研究"(16ZDA038)

摘　　要：本文基于2000—2013年中国海关贸易数据库数据,采用产品层面回归反推方法对中国出口农产品质量进行了测算,并从贸易方式、所有制方面分析中国出口农产品贸易的质量结构特点,进一步构建双重差分模型分析日本肯定列表制度的实施对中国出口农产品质量的影响。研究结果表明:中国出口农产品质量在2000—2013年总体呈上升趋势,2007—2012年呈现出明显的"U"型变化;中国出口农产品质量呈上升趋势这一结论对于不同贸易方式、不同所有制都基本成立;日本肯定列表制度的实施对中国出口到日本的农产品质量产生了明显的正向影响。The effect of the Positive List System on China＇s agricultural products is a major issue, both to policy makers and in academic circles. Based on data from China＇s customs trade database from 2000 to 2013, this paper adopts the product-level regression method to estimate the quality of China＇s agricultural products. It then analyzes the quality structure characteristics of China＇s agricultural exports from the aspects of trade and ownership. Finally, it analyzes the effect of the Positive List System on China＇s agricultural exports, based on a difference-in-differences model. The study finds that：（1） The quality of China＇s agricultural exports rose from 2000 to 2013, while presenting a significant Ushaped change from 2007 to 2012;（2） The conclusion that China＇s agricultural exports improved in quality is valid for both different means of trading, and different forms of ownership;（3） The effect of the Positive List System on China＇s agricultural exports is both statistically and economically significant.

关 键 词：肯定列表制度 出口 农产品 质量 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济] F752.62