设立“新特区”的经济增长效应评估——基于合成控制法的实证分析  

Evaluation on the Economic Growth Effects of Setting up the New Special Economic Zones:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Synthetic Control Method

作　　者：游鸿 邹恒甫 Hong You;Hengfu Zou(China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学中国经济与管理研究院,北京100081

出　　处：《会计与经济研究》2018年第2期96-106,共11页Accounting and Economics Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(16CJY015)

摘　　要：基于合成控制法,文章探讨了设立国家综合配套改革试验区("新特区")对地方经济增长所产生的影响。具体以天津滨海新区为例,考查国务院确立滨海新区为"新特区"这一政策实验给天津以及环渤海经济圈的经济增长所带来的影响。研究发现,设立"新特区"显著促进了天津经济增长,然而,其对环渤海经济圈区域经济增长的带动作用尚不明显。由此认为,我国可适时将"新特区"实践经验推广至全国范围,同时需进一步发挥"新特区"在带动区域协同发展上的联动功能,将"新特区"的经济增长效应普惠至周边经济圈。Based on the synthetic control method,this paper investigates the local economic growth effects of the establishment of the National Comprehensive Reform Pilot Zones(the New Special Zones）. Specifically,we take Tianjin Binhai New District as an example to explore the effects of the establishment of the National Comprehensive Reform Pilot Zone on the economic growth of Tianjin and the Bohai Economic Circle. It＇s found that the establishment of the New Special Zone has a significant effect on Tianjin＇s economic growth.However,the economic growth effects have not scaled to the Bohai Economic Circle.Therefore,we suggest that China should summarize the practical experience of the New Special Zones,and extend this experience to other parts of China in the near future. Meanwhile,the New Special Zones should play a more important role than before in promoting coordinated development of regional economy.

关 键 词：“新特区” 经济增长 区域协同发展 合成控制法 

分 类 号：F2[经济管理—国民经济]