广州市2016年空气质量预报效果评估  

Evaluation on the Effect of Air Quality Forecast in Guangzhou in 2016

作　　者：张金谱 梁桂雄 冯彪 邱晓暖 陈瑜 Zhang Jinpu;Liang Guixiong;Feng Biao;Qiu Xiaonuan;Chen Yu

机构地区：[1]广州市环境监测中心站,广州510030

出　　处：《广州环境科学》2017年第2期1-4,共4页Guangzhou Environmental Science

基　　金：广州市科技计划项目(201604020006)

摘　　要：基于广州市2016年空气质量实测及预报数据对空气质量预报效果进行了评估,研究结果表明:2016年广州市空气质量预报综合考核评分85.8分、相关系数0.72,预报效果总体良好。就不同季度而言,预报综合考核评分值在第一、四季度相对较高;相关系数在第三、四季度相对较高。预报综合考核评分值及相关系数的波动与广州气象和污染特征有关。This study evaluated the effect of Guangzhou’s air quality forecast based on the data of Guangzhou’s 2016 air quality measurement and forecasting. The results show that the comprehensive assessment score of Guangzhou’s air quality forecast was 87.4, and the correlation coefficient was 0.72. The forecast effect was generally good. In terms of different quarters, the comprehensive assessment score was relatively high in the first and fourth quarters, while the correlation coefficient was relatively high in the third and fourth quarters. The comprehensive assessment scores and the correlation coefficients fluctuated with the meteorological and pollution characteristics of Guangzhou.

关 键 词：广州 空气质量预报 评估 

分 类 号：P457[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]