基于出行行为分析的停车换乘设施定价优化  

Park and ride pricing optimization strategy on the basis of travel behavior analysis

作　　者：姚恩建[1,2] 邹萌 杨扬[2] 潘龙 YAO Enjian1,2,ZOU Meng2,YANG Yang2,PAN Long2(1. MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China; 2. School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, Chin)

机构地区：[1]北京交通大学城市交通复杂系统理论与技术教育部重点实验室,北京100044 [2]北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2018年第5期1277-1283,共7页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2012CB725403-1)~~

摘　　要：在构建包含停车换乘（P＆R：park and ride）接驳方式的出行方式选择NL（nested logit）模型的基础上,分析了停车票价对P＆R出行比例的影响,建立了停车费用与P＆R停车设施使用人数间的关系模型.从改善P＆R停车场运营角度出发,针对P＆R停车场的供需情况,分别提出以停车场季利用率最大化和停车场收益最大化为优化目标的P＆R设施定价优化策略,以及停车场未来的建设及运营建议.选取天通苑北站P＆R停车场为例进行案例分析,结合其运营现状对该停车设施的定价进行优化.研究结果可针对已运营的停车换乘设施存在的供过于求或供不应求问题,从设施定价的角度提出相应的运营改善建议.This paper established a NL based travel mode choice model including PR as an access mode,analyzed the influence of the parking ticket price on PR travel mode share, and established the relation model between the parking ticket price and the number of people using PR facilities. According to the condition of supply and demand, two types of PR parking pricing optimization strategies with utilization rate maximization and revenue maximization as optimization goals were proposed respectively from the perspective of the operation improvement of PR parking lot, and the suggestions about the expansion scale and operation strategies in the future to the ＂demand exceeds supply＂ type of PR parking lot were also suggested. In the case study of TIANTONGYUANBEI PR parking lot, the pricing optimization strategy was fully analyzed. The results of the study can put forward the proposal from the perspective of the pricing to improve the problem that most of the operated PR facilities are facing the situation of supply exceeds demand or demand exceeds supply.

关 键 词：停车换乘 nested LOGIT模型 定价优化 规模扩建 

分 类 号：U29[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]