经济增长动力的投入占用产出分析  

Input-occupancy-output Analysis of the Economic Growth Engine

作　　者：刘新建[1] 房俊峰[1] Liu Xinjian;Fang Junfeng(School of Economics and Management, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 06600)

机构地区：[1]燕山大学经济管理学院,秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《管理评论》2018年第5期95-100,共6页Management Review

基　　金：河北省社会科学基金年度项目(HB17YJ107);河北省高等学校人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(SQ151119);河北省高校人文社科重点研究基地科研项目

摘　　要：关于经济增长动力的三驾或四驾马车观点是人们经常讨论的话题,但是,对这个理论的正确认识需要借助于完整的经济分析模型。本文应用动态投入占用产出模型,深入分析了投资需求与其他需求在拉动经济增长中的作用方式,结论是:首先,投资需求动力与其他需求之间不完全独立,其次,当年潜在增长受过去经济活动调节,当年积累消费配置决定未来潜在增长,再次,当年需求状态决定当年实际增长(不大于潜在增长)。主导拉动力的转换受经济发展阶段的影响。The troika theory about economic growth is a frequently discussed topic,but it needs an integrally economic analytical model to have a correct understanding on it. Applying dynamic input-occupancy-output model,this paper gives a deep analysis to the action modes of investment and other demands in pulling economic growth. The conclusions are： first,they are not completely independent between investment driving force and other demands; second,the potential growth in current year is regulated by last year economy and the current year distribution of consumption and accumulation decides the potential growth of future years; third,the current year demand structure decides the current year actual growth which is not bigger than the potential. The transformation of leading driving force is influenced by the economic development stage.

关 键 词：经济增长动力 投入占用产出 动态模型 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]