配电网中长期动态规划投资的标尺激励评价方法  

Yardstick motivation evaluation method for mid-and long-term dynamic planning investment of distribution network

作　　者：李阳[1] 刘友波[1] 黄媛[1] 刘俊勇[1] 熊军 陈浩珲 宁世超 LI Yang;LIU Youbo;HUANG Yuan;LIU Junyong;XIONG Jun;CHEN Haohui;NING Shichao(College of Electrical Engineering and Information Technology,Sichuan University,Chengdu 610065 ,China;Xiamen Electric Power Supply Company of State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co. ,Xiamen 361000, China)

机构地区：[1]四川大学电气信息学院,四川成都610065 [2]国网福建省电力有限公司厦门供电公司,福建厦门361000

出　　处：《电力自动化设备》2018年第6期95-102,共8页Electric Power Automation Equipment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51437003);国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)资助项目(2014AA051901);国家电网公司科技项目~~

摘　　要：增量配电业务加强、电能替代战略实施等新形势电力发展需求使得我国配电网升级改造需求与投资建设规模持续增加,研究一套合理、全面的配电网中长期动态规划投资的评价模型对指导配电网精准投资具有重要的意义。以供电质量、电网结构、装备水平、供电能力、信息化水平和投资能力6类准则的"输入-输出"指标刻画配电网综合性能的改善效率,利用模糊层次聚类分析法构建组合权重优选模型;将信息熵和时间度理论引入配电网规划期望性能的评价模型中,建立基于数据包络分析法的动态标尺评价方法,以区域间比较竞争和考核激励的方式引导配电网精准投资,实现配电网建设成本最小化、资源配置效率最大化。算例分析了某省9个地区的配电网投资规划策略,验证了所提方法体系的有效性和合理性。Since the new demands of power development,such as strengthening of distribution business,the implementation of alternative energy strategy,etc.,make the upgrade and investment scale of distribution network continue to increase,it is important for guiding precise investment to research a set of reasonable and comprehensive evaluation model for mid-and long-term dynamic planning investment of distribution network.The improvement efficiency of comprehensive performance of distribution network is described by the ＂input-output＂indexes of six type criteria,i.e.power supply quality,network structure,equipment level,power supply capacity,information level,and investment capability,and an optimal combined weight selection model is built based on fuzzy hierarchical clustering analysis.The information entropy and time degree theory are introduced to the expected performance evaluation model of distribution network planning for establishing the dynamic yardstick evaluation method based on data envelopment analysis.The inter-area comparative competition and assessment and motivation are used to guide the precise investment,realizing minimum construction cost and maximum resource allocation efficiency.Analysis of investment planning strategy of 9 regions in a province verifies the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method.

关 键 词：配电网精准投资 模糊层次聚类 数据包络分析 动态标尺评价 考核激励 

分 类 号：TM761[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]