关于空战中航空弹药消耗量优化预测仿真  

Optimization Prediction Simulation of Air Ammunition Consumption in Air Combat

作　　者：高翔 王建萍 张吉能 GAO Xiang;WANG Jian - ping;ZHANG Ji - neng(Department of Aviation Ammunition, Air Foree Logistics College, Xuzhou Jiangsu 221000, China;No. 94857 Unit of PLA, Wuhu Anhui 241000, China)

机构地区：[1]空军勤务学院航空弹药系 [2]中国人民解放军94857部队

出　　处：《计算机仿真》2018年第6期33-36,共4页Computer Simulation

摘　　要：对空战中航空弹药消耗量的优化预测,能够有效控制弹药攻击范围,保证较高作战效率。对航空弹药消耗量的预测,需要通过拟合弹药样本集获取预测目标,建立消耗量预测映射,完成航空弹药消耗量的优化预测。传统方法对航空弹药的发射条件和基准弹道进行确定,推导确定摄动模型参数,但忽略了对弹药消耗量的预测映射,预测精度偏低。提出基于回归型支持向量机的空战中航空弹药消耗量优化预测方法,建立标准目标/公顷数和航空机炮目标的弹药消耗量模型,从而对空战中航空弹药消耗量数据进行分析,利用线性回归函数训练航空弹药消耗量的样本集,从而建立航空弹药消耗量预测的目标,通过建立航空弹药消耗量预测的映射,实现航空弹药消耗量进行优化预测的方法,实验结果表明,所提方法对空战中航空弹药消耗量预测的精确度较高,且预测的耗时较少。This article proposes an optimization prediction method for consumption of aircraft ammunition in air battle based on support vector regression. Our research built ammunition consumption model of standard target per hectare and target of aircraft gun to analyze data of the consumption, then used linear regression function to train sample set of the consumption and built prediction target of the consumption. Thus, the optimization prediction is achieved via building mapping of the prediction of consumption of aircraft ammunition. Simulation results show that the method has high prediction precision. Its time consumption of prediction is much less.

关 键 词：空战 航空弹药 消耗 优化预测 

分 类 号：E932[兵器科学与技术—火炮、自动武器与弹药工程]