中国省域经济增长源泉研究:要素和全要素生产率——基于改进空间的随机前沿模型  

Analysis on Source of Provincial Economic Growth in China: Factors and Total Factor Productivity——Based on an Inproved Spatial Stochastic Frontier Model

作　　者：陈彬[1] 孙才志[1] CHEN Bin;SUN Cai - zhi(Center for Studies of Marine Economy and Sustainable Development, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116000, China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展中心,辽宁大连116000

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2018年第7期894-901,共8页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大课题项目(编号:16JJD790021)

摘　　要：结合传统随机前沿模型(SFA)、地理加权回归(GWR)模型和空间误差模型(SEA),将截面数据的地理加权回归模型推广应用到面板数据,新的空间随机前沿模型在获取各省全要素生产率的同时可得到各自的前沿生产函数。结果表明:(1)要素投入,尤其是资本要素投入仍是多数地区经济增长的主要源泉;(2)中部和西部劳动力流失问题严峻;(3)我国经济增长与高污染、高能耗并行;(4)对新技术利用不佳仍是现阶段我国发展面临的巨大障碍;(5)中部和西部全要素生产率在现有研究中往往被低估;(6)全要素生产率贡献各地的差异较大,说明我国还存在较强的技术扩散壁垒。An improved spatial stochastic frontier model combined with the panel-data-based GWR model,the SFA（ Stochastic Frontier Analysis） model,and the SEM（ Spatial Error Model） was established to analyze the source of provincial economic growth in China. The new approach took the spatial correlation among regions into consideration and had a certain innovative significance. The statistics of China＇s provinces except Xizang,Hongkong,Macao and Taiwan from 2000 to 2014 were used for calculation. Then we could get the frontier production function and total factor productivity of each province with the improved model. The analysis of the sample database revealed that：（1）Factor input,especially capital input,was still the main source of economic growth in most regions of China.（2）The central and western regions were facing a serious problem of labor loss.（3）China＇ s rapid economic growth was accompanied by lots of pollution emissions and high energy consumption in the study period.（4）The technical progress indicators were not significant in many provinces,which showed a severe phenomenon of China＇ s poor use of new tecnologies.（5）TFP in central and western China was often underestimated in existing research.（6）The contribution rate of total factor productivity（ TFP） of each province varied greatly,which meant that there were still serious technical diffusion barriers in China.

关 键 词：随机前沿 地理加权 空间误差 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]