基于量子反应均衡的排污企业的有限理性研究  

Research on Bounded Rationality of Emission-dependent Enterprises Based on Quantal Response Equilibrium

作　　者：郑君君[1] 蔡明[1] 王璐[1] 王向民[1] Zheng Junjun;Cai Ming;Wang Lu;Wang Xiangmin(School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 43007)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院,武汉430072

出　　处：《管理评论》2018年第6期173-183,共11页Management Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71771181);湖北省教育厅哲学社会科学研究重大项目(16zd002)

摘　　要：本文设计了2×2行为实验研究排污企业的有限理性,定量刻画了不同排污权有偿分配政策下排污企业的有限理性程度,并进行了对比分析,得到结论:排污权的定价策略影响企业的有限理性程度,在高价策略下企业决策更加理性;排污权的分配方式是否影响企业的有限理性程度与排污权价格相关,在低价策略下依据产量分配方式下的企业决策更加理性,高价策略下两种分配方式下的企业有限理性程度相差不大;排污技术水平不同的企业,其有限理性程度不同。在低价策略下,排污技术水平高的企业决策更加理性,在高价策略下,排污技术水平低的企业决策更加理性;排污企业的有限理性参数波动范围大概在52-97之间。本文的研究为排污企业进行合理有效的决策分析以及政府政策的进一步完善提供了理论支持。This paper designs the 2×2 experiment to study the bounded rationality of emission-dependent enterprises. By quantitatively characterizing the bounded rationality of emission-dependent enterprises under different paid allocation policies of emission permit and comparatively analyzing them,we draw the following conclusions. The pricing strategy of emission permit affects the bounded rationality of enterprises and decisions under high-price strategy are more rational. Whether the allocation method of emission permit affects the bounded rationality of enterprises relates to the pricing strategy. Under the low-price strategy,decisions under the production-dependent allocation policy are more rational than under the emission-dependent allocation policy,while there is not much difference under the high price strategy. Enterprises with different levels of pollution discharge technology have different degrees of bounded rationality. Enterprises with high levels of pollution discharge technology are more rational under the low-price strategy while enterprises with low levels of pollution discharge technology are more rational under the high-price strategy. The bounded rationality parameters of enterprises fluctuate in the range of 52-97. The research provides theoretical support for the rational and effective decision-making of the emission-dependent enterprises and the further improvement of government policies.

关 键 词：量子反应均衡 排污权有偿分配 有限理性 实验 

分 类 号：X322[环境科学与工程—环境工程]