收入分配、实体经济与虚拟经济关联性研究  

Research on the Relationship Between Income Distribution,Real Economy and Virtual Economy

作　　者：阎毅[1] Yan Yi(The People＇s Bank of Chin)

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行,北京100800

出　　处：《当代金融研究》2018年第3期81-89,共9页Journal of Contemporary Financial Research

摘　　要：本文利用1980-2015年时间序列数据,在VAR模型的分析框架下探讨了收入分配、实体经济和虚拟经济之间的关联性。研究结果表明,收入分配、实体经济与虚拟经济存在长期均衡关系;收入分配是实体经济的格兰杰原因,实体经济与虚拟经济互为格兰杰原因;收入分配对实体经济和虚拟经济的发展有显著的促进和阻碍作用。本文结论的启示是,收入分配差距的扩大可能是实体经济与虚拟经济发展失衡的先导因素。This paper uses time series data during 1980-2015 to discuss the relationship between income distribution, real economy and virtual economy under the framework of VAR model. The result shows that among income distribution, real economy and virtual economy,there is a long-term equilibrium relationship;Income distribution is granger reason of real economy, real economy and virtual economy are granger reasons for each other; Income distribution can exert promoting and hindering effect on the development of real economy and virtual economy. The enlightenment of the conclusion of this paper is that the widening of income distribution gap may be the leading factor for the unbalance of real economy and virtual economy.

关 键 词：收入分配 实体经济 虚拟经济 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F810[经济管理—财政学]