基于改进Valiantzas方程的黄河下游柳园口灌区ET_0预测研究  

Improved Valiantzas equation for ET_0 prediction in typical Yellow River irrigation district

作　　者：景明[1,2] 王军涛 程献国[1,2] 高子乐 JING Ming;WANG Jun-tao;CHENG Xian-guo;GAO Zi-le(Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Resarch, YRCC, Zhengzhou, Henan 450003, China;Yellow River Irrigation, Drainage and Rural Water Supply Research Center,Xinxiang, Henan 453003, China;Huibei Water Conservancy Science Experimental Station of East Henan WaterConservancy Project Administration, Kaifeng, Henan 475000, China)

机构地区：[1]黄河水利委员会黄河水利科学研究院,河南郑州450003 [2]黄河流域农村水利研究中心,河南新乡453003 [3]河南省豫东水利工程管理局惠北水利科学试验站,河南开封475000

出　　处：《干旱地区农业研究》2018年第2期273-278,共6页Agricultural Research in the Arid Areas

基　　金："十二五"农村领域国家科技计划课题(2012BAD08B00);国家自然科学基金项目(51379085);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201401019);黄河水利科学研究院基本科研业务费专项项目(HKW-JBYW-2013-06)

摘　　要：根据黄河调度旬方案编制对作物需水量逐旬预报的要求,分析了参考作物需水量计算方法。以河南省柳园口灌区为典型,对以空气相对湿度等为输入参数的Valiantzas方程进行了改进,研究建立了基于特征气温的空气相对湿度预测方法。采用多元回归方法,建立了以特征气温、日序数为输入的改进Valiantzas方程,并对模型精度进行了验证。研究表明,改进的Valiantzas方程的相对误差比原方程可减少12.4%,均方根偏差降低37.4%,相关系数提高13.4%。同时,改进的Valiantzas方程能够实现对未来10 d作物需水量的预测,符合黄河水量旬精细调度对基础数据中期预报的要求。Selecting the Liuyuankou irrigation area in Henan Province as the representative area,the Valiantzas equation with the air relative humidity（ RH） as the input parameter is improved and that based on the characteristic temperature was also established in this paper. Using the multiple regression method,an improved Valiantzas equation with the input of characteristic temperature and daily ordinal number was established,and the accuracy of the model was verified. Compared with original equation,the improved Valiantzas equation had a 12. 4% reduction in the relative error and a 37. 4% in root mean square deviation. In addition,the correlation coefficient was increased by 13. 4%. Therefore,the improved Valiantzas equation could provide basic information about crop water requirement forecast at ten-day scale.

关 键 词：参考作物需水量 Valiantzas方程 改进 预测 黄河下游 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]