基于模糊层次分析法的荆江航道整治水下抛石施工风险评估  

FAHP-Based Risk Assessment of Underwater Riprap Construction in Jingjiang Waterway Regulation

作　　者：邓君 王菲[2] 张长志 梁泽龙[2] DENG Jun;WANG Fei;ZHANG Chang-zhi;LIANG Ze-long(Key Laboratory of Hydraulic and Waterway Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China;School of River and Ocean Engineering, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China)

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学水利水运工程教育部重点实验室,重庆400074 [2]重庆交通大学河海学院,重庆400074

出　　处：《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第6期183-188,共6页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：重庆市高等教育教学改革研究项目(153075);重庆市教委科技项目(KJ1601005)

摘　　要：为了系统研究航道整治施工过程中各风险发生的概率,以荆江航道整治水下抛石施工为依托,通过模糊层次分析法对施工进行风险因素识别和风险综合评价,并按照各风险所占权重的大小进行排序,得出对项目施工影响较大的因素,以此为依据采取施工防护措施,减少风险的发生.在此基础上采用模糊综合评价法进行风险评价,得出荆江航道整治水下抛石施工风险等级,从而验证整体施工方案可行性.In order to study the probability of various risks in the waterway regulation construction,this paper uses the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process（FAHP）to identify the risk factors and evaluate the risk of underwater riprap construction in Jingjiang waterway regulation.The risk factors are sorted according to their weight to find out the factors that have a great impact on the project construction,so that proper preventive measures may be adopted to reduce the occurrence of risks.And on the basis of risk assessment with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method（FCE）,the Jingjiang Waterway Regulation risk rating for underwater riprap construction is derived.This can verify the feasibility of the overall construction scheme.

关 键 词：模糊层次分析法 风险分析 风险识别 

分 类 号：U617[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]