工业结构、能源消耗与雾霾主要成分的关联性——以北京为例  

Association between Industrial Structure,Energy Consumption and the Main Components of Haze:A Case Study of Beijing

作　　者：田孟 王毅凌[1] TIAN Meng;WANG Yi-ling(Department of Statistics;Pearl River College,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 301811,China)

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学统计系,天津300222 [2]天津财经大学珠江学院,天津300222

出　　处：《经济问题》2018年第7期50-58,共9页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"基于京津冀一体化的雾霾治理与产业关联统计研究"(15BTJ020)

摘　　要：对北京各工业行业排放的雾霾主要成分进行了测算和因素分解。结果显示:各工业行业排放的SO_2最多,其次是NO_x,而直接排放的PM_(2.5)一次源较少;能源结构的改善和能源强度的下降是三者减排的主因,而经济发展水平的提升、人口总量的扩张和对火电、供热需求的增加始终是增排因素,产业结构优化的减排潜力有待挖掘。分行业看,火力发电、供热、非金属矿物制品业始终是排放"大户",且火力发电能源结构改善的减排效果部分地被对火电需求的增加所抵消。分能源类型看,煤炭仍是目前排放最多的能源品种,但是各行业对煤炭依赖度的下降对煤炭大幅减排做出了重要贡献。为治理雾霾,北京工业部门需要多管齐下。This paper calculates and decomposes the main components of haze of Beijing sub-industries. The results show as follow： The emission of SO2 is the largest; the second largest is NOx; primary PM2.5 is less. The improvement of energy consumption structure and the reduction of energy consumption intensity are the main factors to reduce the emissions of the three. However,the promotion of economic development level,the expansion of population size and the increased demand for thermal power generation and heat supply are factors to increase emissions;the potential of industrial structure optimization is to be excavated. Among all the industries,thermal power generation,heat supply and non-mental mineral product are major pollutant producers; and in terms of thermal power generation,the reduction caused by the improvement of energy consumption structure is partially offset by increasing demand. Among all types of energy,coal has always been the mostly emitted,but sub-industries＇ s less dependence on coal make an important contribution on large reduction. Haze governance of Beijing industry should concern all aspects.

关 键 词：雾霾 工业结构 能源消耗 因素分解 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]