化工园区定量风险评价方法及相关理论研究综述  

Summary of quantitative risk assessment methods for chemical industry parks and related theoretical research

作　　者：辛春林[1,2] 张姗姗 XIN Chun-lin;ZHANG Shan-shan(School of Economics ＆ Management,Beijing University of Chemical Technology,Beijing 100029,China;Research Center of Operation Management ＆ Strategic Decision,Beijing University of Chemical Technology,Beijing 100029,China)

机构地区：[1]北京化工大学经济管理学院,北京100029 [2]北京化工大学运营管理与战略决策中心,北京100029

出　　处：《应用化工》2018年第5期1003-1006,1010,共5页Applied Chemical Industry

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(70971008);国家科技支撑计划(2015BAK39B02)

摘　　要：化工园区的发展顺应了工业生产大型化趋势,数量逐渐增多,已经成为了我国化学工业的主要发展模式,但是随之而来的安全风险问题也越来越突出。为了更好地进行化工园区风险评价,首先介绍了化工园区定量风险评价的定义、风险指标以及国内外发展现状,其次对影响风险评价的多米诺效应、风险可接受准则研究进行概述,最后提出目前化工园区风险评价的不足和展望。The development of chemical industry park conforms to the trend of large-scale industrial production,and the quantity is gradually increasing. It has become the major development mode of China＇s chemical industry,but the ensuing problems of security risks are also becoming more and more prominent.In order to carry out the chemical park risk assessment better. Firstly,introduces the definition,risk index and development status of chemical park quantitative risk assessment,and then summarizes the research on Domino effect and risk acceptability criterion that affect risk assessment. Finally,shortcomings and prospects of chemical industry parks risk assessment.

关 键 词：区域定量风险评价 多米诺效应 风险可接受准则 个人风险 社会风险 

分 类 号：TQ086[化学工程] X937[环境科学与工程—安全科学]