新型城镇化背景下辽宁省水资源利用研究  

Studies on utilization of water resources in Liaoning Province under new urbanization

作　　者：许爽爽[1,2] 马芳 付云鹏 XU Shuangshuang;MA Fang;FU Yunpeng(College of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110136,China;Department of Basic Teaching,Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang 110870,China;College of Science,Shenyang University of Technology,Shenyang 110870,China)

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学经济学院,沈阳110136 [2]沈阳工业大学基础部,沈阳110870 [3]沈阳工业大学理学院,沈阳110870

出　　处：《沈阳师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2018年第2期129-134,共6页Journal of Shenyang Normal University:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：辽宁省教育厅高等学校科学科研项目(WQGD2017021);辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L17BTJ001)

摘　　要：基于2005—2016年辽宁省的统计数据,以新型城镇化为视角,首先分析辽宁省城镇化与用水结构的发展趋势,然后构建回归模型,利用Eviews软件实证研究辽宁省城镇化率与水资源利用效率、城镇化率与人均用水水平之间的定量关系。结果表明,城镇化率是水资源利用效率和人均用水水平的Granger原因,城镇化率每提高1%,万元GDP用水量和人均用水量分别降低7.48%和0.22%,即城镇化水平的提高有助于提高用水效率。利用回归模型预测可知,到2020年,辽宁省城镇化率达到72%时,水资源利用效率将明显高于2016年,并且辽宁省万元GDP用水量和万元工业增加值用水量均未超过辽宁省用水效率控制红线。最后,针对辽宁省在新型城镇化进程中提高水资源利用效率,提出政策建议。Based on the statistical data of Liaoning Province from 2005 to 2016,the paper first analyzed the development trend of urbanization and water consumption structure in Liaoning Province from the perspective of urbanization,and then built the regression model to empirically study the quantitative relationship between urbanization rate and efficiency in utilizing water resources,and that between urbanization rate and water consumption per capita with Eviews.The results showed that the urbanization rate was the Granger cause of water resources utilization efficiency and water consumption per capita.When the urbanization rate increased by 1%,the water consumption per 10,000 yuan and per capita decreased by 7.48% and 0.22% respectively,that is,the improvement of urbanization helped to enhance utilization efficiency of water resources.With regression model,it can be predicted that when the urbanization rate in Liaoning Province is 72%in2020,the utilization efficiency of water resources increases significantly,compared with that in2016.Moreover,the water consumption for 10,000 yuan GDP and 10,000 yuan of industrial added value did not exceed the red line control of water efficiency in Liaoning Province.Finally,the paper put forward some suggestions on how to improve the utilization efficiency of water resources in the process of new urbanization in Liaoning Province.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 水资源 利用效率 辽宁省 

分 类 号：C82[社会学—统计学] X52[环境科学与工程—环境工程]