中国援助是否促进了非洲经济增长  

Does China's Aid Effectively Promote Africa's Economic Growth

作　　者：朱玮玮[1] 徐康宁[1] 王美昌[1] ZHU Weiwei;XU Kangning;WANG Meichang

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2018年第7期108-120,共13页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"世界经济的重大结构性矛盾及其深刻影响研究"(17ZDA096)

摘　　要：关于非洲经济增长是否得益于中国的援助一直是存有争议的话题,至今未有定论。首先,本文从援助规模、方式和结构层面对中国援非项目进行了典型化特征事实分析;其次,构建了援助促进经济增长的作用机制分析框架,包含物质资本补充效应、人力资本提升效应和技术传递与外溢效应;最后基于2001-2013年中国对38个非洲国家的微观援助项目和校准夜间灯光数据,采用动态面板系统GMM方法对援助的经济增长效应进行了整体和分类别实证检验。研究结果表明,中国持续稳定的基础设施和财政支持援助显著促进了非洲地区,尤其是撒哈拉沙漠以南非洲国家的经济增长。Does China＇s aid effectively promote Africa＇s economic growth？ To date there is no consistent conclusion on this matter. This paper first analyzes the typical characteristics of China＇s aid from the dimensions of scale, mode and structure. Second, the paper constructs an analytical framework to assess aid effectiveness, and puts forward several mechanisms through which aid promotes eco-nomic growth, including the material capital supplement effect, the human capital improvement effect and the technology transfer and spillover effect. Third, the paper uses data on micro-aid to 38 recipients in Africa and nighttime light data over the period of 2001-2013 to apply a dynamic panel system GMM regression test to empirically measure the overall and case specific effectiveness of aid on economic growth. The results show that during the period of sample data, China＇s steady and continuous aid, including infrastructure aid and fiscal aid, significantly promoted Africa＇s economic growth, especially for countries and regions in Sub-Saharan Africa.

关 键 词：中国 援助 非洲 经济增长 夜间灯光数据 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F14