基于Logistic模型的农产品物流系统演化研究  

Research on the Evolution of Agricultural Products Logistics System Based on Logistic Model

作　　者：姚冠新[1] 赵阿祥 YAO Guanxin;ZHAO Axiang(School of Management,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212000,China)

机构地区：[1]江苏大学管理学院,江苏镇江212000

出　　处：《物流科技》2018年第7期10-13,共4页Logistics Sci-Tech

基　　金：江苏省社会科学基金项目"江苏生鲜农产品有效供给对策研究"(16GLA004)

摘　　要：改革开放以来,随着社会经济的不断发展,人们物质水平的极大丰富。消费者从之前对产品价格的重视慢慢地转移到了对新鲜程度的重视,这也对农产品物流系统提出了更高的要求。农产品物流系统是农村物流系统的重要组成部分,是农村物流发展到一定阶段的产物,其形成与发展有着深刻的内在规律性和外在关联性。文章将Logistic方程构建的农产品物流系统演化模型视为整个农产品物流系统的自组织演化的着眼点。从定量的角度分析了农产品物流系统的自组织演化所经历的四个阶段和演化轨迹,并描述了不同时期下演化特征。最后,依照结论提出了具有针对性的发展建议。Since the reform and opening up, with the continuous development of social economy, people＇s material level is extremely rich. Consumers from the previous price emphasis slowly transferred to the fresh degree of attention, this also put forward higher requirements to the agricultural product logistics system. The agricultural product logistics system is an important part of the rural logistics system, is the product of the development of rural logistics to a certain stage, its formation and development has a profound internal regularity and external correlation. In this paper, the evolution model of agricultural product logistics system based on Logistic equation is regarded as the starting point of self-organization evolution of the whole agricultural product logistics system. This paper analyzes the agricultural production from the quantitative point of view. The four stages and trajectories of the self-organization evolution of the product logistics system are described,and the evolution characteristics of the product logistics system in different periods are described. Finally, according to the conclusion, the paper puts forward some development suggestions.

关 键 词：农产品物流系统 LOGISTIC方程 自组织 

分 类 号：F304.3[经济管理—产业经济]