基于任务的装甲装备器材需求预测  

Demand Forecasting of Armored Equipment Materials Based on Task

作　　者：王铁宁 杨帆 吴龙涛 高晟 WANG Tie-ning;YANG Fan;WU Long-tao;GAO Sheng(Academy of Army Armored Force,Beijing 100072,China;Unit 96163 of PLA,Leping 333300,China)

机构地区：[1]陆军装甲兵学院 [2]解放军96163部队

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2018年第7期71-75,共5页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：军队科研计划基金资助项目

摘　　要：分析基于任务环境下的装甲装备器材消耗影响因素,同时考虑预防性维修与修复性维修两种策略下的3种情况,以总成本最低为目标,以任务成功性及器材使用可用度为约束构造了基于任务的器材需求预测模型,并通过实例对模型进行求解与仿真校正,验证了模型的合理性及可行性。Analyze influence factors of Armored Equipment Materials consuming based on task,take preventative maintenance and corrective maintenance into account,which including three different conditions,put total cost optimization as the objective function,combined with task successful rate and operational availability rate,model of demand forecasting of armored equipment materials based on task is constructed,the rationality and feasibility with an example is corrected and illustrated at last.

关 键 词：装甲装备器材 器材保障 需求预测 

分 类 号：E917[军事] TJ02[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]