中美制造业成熟度比较研究  

A Comparative Study of Manufacturing Maturity between China and America

作　　者：彭晖[1] 王哲[1] 康利 PENG Hui;WANG Zhe;KANG Li(School of Economics and Finance,Xi＇an Jiaotong University,Xi＇an 710049,China;1.Zhong Lu Financial Holdings Ltd,Shenzhen 518023 China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院 [2]深圳众禄金融控股股份有限公司

出　　处：《经济体制改革》2018年第4期165-172,共8页Reform of Economic System

基　　金：北京工商大学首都流通业研究基地开放课题研究基金项目"京津冀流通业与制造业协同发展的机理及实证研究"(JD-KFKT-2017-07)

摘　　要：本文运用灰色关联的方法度量评价指标,分析中美制造业整体及细分行业的成熟水平差距。研究表明,中国制造业发展指数相对于美国在不断改善,并在2008年金融危机后赶超美国,而协调水平指数严重偏斜并在危机爆发后出现下降。细分行业对比中,中低技术制造发展度高,这与中国的比较优势和战略选择相符。协调水平评价中,低技术和高技术制造业表现优于美国,一方面是由于体量小,发展速度保持稳定;另一方面是中国的产业链完整,分工程度高,使得产业间的关联性增强。The gray correlation method is used to measure the evaluation indicators, and the gap between the mature manufacturing industry in China and the US and the maturity level of the sub-sectors are analyzed. The results show that China＇s manufacturing development index is improving consistently relative to the United States, and the development index surpassed the United States after the 2008 financial crisis, while the coordination level index was severely skewed, and the index even declined after the crisis broke out. The development of medium and low technology is high, which is consistent with China＇s comparative advantage and strategic choice. In the evaluation of coordination level, low-tech and high-tech manufacturing performance is better than that of the United States. On the one hand, due to small volume, the speed of development remains stable. On the other hand, China＇s industrial chain is complete, and the high degree of engineering leads to in strong correlation between industries.

关 键 词：中美制造业 成熟度 投入产出法 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F421.1[经济管理—产业经济]