科技进步、贸易条件指数和贸易平衡对全要素生产率的影响  

The Effects of Technical Change, Terms of Trade and Trade Balance on China's Total Factor Productivity

作　　者：宇宸 YU Chen(Business School,Heze University,Heze 274015,China)

机构地区：[1]菏泽学院商学院,山东菏泽274015

出　　处：《辽宁大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2018年第4期37-45,共9页Journal of Liaoning University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：改革开放之后,科技进步和对外贸易对中国经济和人民生活越来越重要。文章讨论科技进步、贸易条件指数和贸易平衡对1978年以后的中国全要素生产率的影响。使用一次近似的国内销售法将全要素生产率指数进行了分解和计算并且得出如下结果:全要素生产率可以分解为科技进步率、贸易条件指数和贸易平衡。在我国,科技进步率对全要素生产率的贡献率为正,贸易条件和贸易平衡对全要素生产率的贡献率为负。这说明,为了提高全要素生产率,我国应该增加科技创新与研发的投入,促进劳动力密集型产业的转型升级,大力发展资本和技术密集型产业,增加附加值高的高科技、高质量的新型产品的生产和出口,同时鼓励企业进口生产所必需的机器、技术和原材料等产品。Since the Economic Reform of China in 1978, technical change and trade with foreign countries have been more and more important to China＇s economy. This paper discusses the effects of technical change, terms of trade and trade balance on China＇s total factor productivity（TFP）after 1978. This research applies domestic sale method in use of first order approximation approach to decompose and calculate TFP, and finds that TFP can be decomposed into technical change, terms of trade and trade balance effects. Technical change affects TFP positively; whereas, terms of trade and trade balance affect TFP negatively. This indicates that China should invest more in research and development, promote the transformation and upgrading of labor intensive industries, develop capital and technology intensive industries,increase the production and export of new products of high technology and high quality with high added value,and at the same time, encourage enterprises to import necessary inputs such as machines, technology and materials.

关 键 词：科技进步率 贸易条件指数 贸易平衡 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]