新疆纺织业的产业关联与产业波及  

An analysis on industry linkage and industry spread of Xinjiang textile industry

作　　者：张建磊 陈羽洁 刘蕴莹 程隆棣 ZHANG Jianlei;CHEN Yujie;LIU Yunying;CHENG Longdi(State Key Laboratory for Modification of Cheulical Fibers and Polymer Materials;Glorious Sun School of Business and Management,Donghua University,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：[1]东华大学纤维材料改性国家重点实验室,上海201620 [2]东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海201620

出　　处：《丝绸》2018年第8期60-67,共8页Journal of Silk

基　　金：国家重点研发计划资助项目(2017YFB0309100)

摘　　要：文章利用投入产出模型及平衡关系式对2002—2012年新疆纺织业的产业关联与产业波及进行了研究。研究结果表明:新疆纺织业与棉花种植、电力供应、物流业、贸易成本、建筑业关系密切,纺织产业链逐步在延长,棉花供应已成为影响新疆纺织业发展的关键制约因素;新疆纺织业的影响力、影响力系数明显大于感应度、感应度系数,纺织业对地区国民经济的拉动作用明显强于国民经济对纺织业的拉动作用;净流出对纺织业的促进作用最大,纺织业发展严重依赖纺织产品的净流出,消费将成为驱动纺织业发展的重要力量,投资对纺织业的贡献依然偏小。The industry linkage and industry spread of Xinjiang textile industry during 2002—2012 were studied with input-output model and balance formula. The results of study are as follows： Xinjiang textile industry has close relationship with cotton crop farming,electric power supply,logistics industry,trade cost and construction industry;textile industry chain has gradually extended; cotton supply has been the key factor affecting the development of Xinjiang textile industry. The influence and influence coefficient of Xinjiang textile industry are significantly larger than sensitive degree and sensitive degree coefficient,indicating that the promotion effect of textile industry on regional national economy is stronger than that of national economy on textile industry. Net outflow contributes greatly to textile industry; the development of textile industry depends heavily on the net outflow of textile products;consumption tends to be an important force to drive its development; and the contribution of investment to the textile industry is still relatively small.

关 键 词：新疆 纺织业 产业关联 产业波及 投入产出 

分 类 号：F427.45[经济管理—产业经济]